Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.151502 0.167815 0.184505 0.202817 0.222302 0.242378 0.264587
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.129006 0.151551 0.175481 0.202636 0.232459 0.264085 0.300029
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.113129 0.140003 0.169455 0.203836 0.242584 0.284627 0.333422
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.099208 0.128989 0.162615 0.202892 0.249329 0.300724 0.361441
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.090595 0.123089 0.160752 0.206867 0.261058 0.322018 0.395071
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.081600 0.115834 0.156546 0.207456 0.268365 0.337918 0.422362
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.073612 0.109072 0.152300 0.207440 0.274512 0.352158 0.447540
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.066048 0.102185 0.147336 0.206053 0.278616 0.363708 0.469379
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060740 0.097770 0.145081 0.207668 0.286091 0.379077 0.495629
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057699 0.096111 0.146129 0.213255 0.298331 0.400123 0.528674
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052993 0.091792 0.143407 0.213789 0.304113 0.413247 0.552186
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050234 0.089983 0.143835 0.218248 0.314731 0.432244 0.582828
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046415 0.086480 0.141917 0.219689 0.321703 0.447063 0.608865
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042276 0.082188 0.138666 0.219163 0.326019 0.458529 0.630813
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039025 0.078985 0.136732 0.220242 0.332303 0.472408 0.655755
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.035414 0.074926 0.133344 0.219144 0.335600 0.482442 0.675906
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.033601 0.073606 0.133805 0.223271 0.345746 0.501163 0.706948
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.030978 0.070737 0.131823 0.223859 0.351102 0.513740 0.730307
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.028414 0.067752 0.129497 0.223824 0.355523 0.525067 0.752091
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.025721 0.064305 0.126279 0.222355 0.357884 0.533660 0.770384
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.023968 0.062391 0.125314 0.224049 0.364507 0.547778 0.795738
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.023245 0.062321 0.127213 0.229922 0.376904 0.569502 0.830924
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.021463 0.060095 0.125565 0.230482 0.381897 0.581494 0.853652